Which jobs are most likely to be replaced by AI?

Roles with high transactional volume and rules-based decision-making — entry-level customer support, document review, data entry, basic accounting, and form processing — face the highest substitution risk. Creative, deeply-relational, and physically-embodied roles face the lowest.

Where does the AI replaceability data come from?

O*NET task and skill data combined with task-level AI capability mappings published by OpenAI, Anthropic, MIT, and the BLS. Each occupation is scored across 47 core tasks; the AI Replaceability Index aggregates task-level exposure into one occupation-level percentage.

How fast will AI replace these jobs?

Substitution timelines vary by capability gap. Roles where current AI already exceeds human accuracy (basic translation, simple coding, transcription) are seeing 20–30% headcount reductions within 18 months. Roles requiring physical embodiment or long-horizon planning have 5–10-year horizons.

Can I see jobs that AI is creating, not destroying?

Yes — the same dataset feeds the AI Opportunities Leaderboard, which surfaces companies hiring AI-augmented roles. Cross-link from any occupation page to the "Companies hiring this role" section.

The State of AI and Jobs in America

How AI is reshaping 923 occupations across every industry. Data-driven analysis of automation risk, employment trends, and career guidance.

Data: O*NET 30.2 + BLS Employment Projections + AIOE AI Exposure Index

AI Impact Distribution

Critical

Score 80-100

142

Elevated

Score 60-79

541

Moderate

Score 40-59

243

Low

Score 20-39

Minimal

Score 0-19

Top 20 Most AI-Impacted Occupations

#	Occupation	AI Score	Wage	Timeline
1	Budget Analysts Business and Financial Operations Occupations	100/100	$87,930	1-3 years
2	Personal Financial Advisors Business and Financial Operations Occupations	100/100	$102,140	1-3 years
3	Statisticians Computer and Mathematical Occupations	100/100	$103,300	1-3 years
4	Procurement Clerks Office and Administrative Support Occupations	95/100	$48,510	1-3 years
5	Credit Authorizers, Checkers, and Clerks Office and Administrative Support Occupations	94/100	$49,130	1-3 years
6	Cargo and Freight Agents Office and Administrative Support Occupations	94/100	$49,900	1-3 years
7	Freight Forwarders Office and Administrative Support Occupations	94/100	$49,900	1-3 years
8	Insurance Claims and Policy Processing Clerks Office and Administrative Support Occupations	93/100	$48,450	1-3 years
9	Bill and Account Collectors Office and Administrative Support Occupations	93/100	$46,040	1-3 years
10	Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance Office and Administrative Support Occupations	93/100	$48,880	1-3 years
11	Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants Office and Administrative Support Occupations	93/100	$44,640	1-3 years
12	Court, Municipal, and License Clerks Office and Administrative Support Occupations	92/100	$47,700	1-3 years
13	Correspondence Clerks Office and Administrative Support Occupations	92/100	$46,740	1-3 years
14	Travel Agents Sales and Related Occupations	92/100	$48,450	1-3 years
15	Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive Office and Administrative Support Occupations	92/100	$46,290	1-3 years
16	Human Resources Assistants, Except Payroll and Timekeeping Office and Administrative Support Occupations	91/100	$49,440	1-3 years
17	Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants Office and Administrative Support Occupations	91/100	$74,260	1-3 years
18	Loan Interviewers and Clerks Office and Administrative Support Occupations	91/100	$48,950	1-3 years
19	Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks Office and Administrative Support Occupations	91/100	$55,290	1-3 years
20	Billing and Posting Clerks Office and Administrative Support Occupations	91/100	$47,170	1-3 years

Browse by Occupation Group

Office and Administrative Support Occupations

55 occupationsAvg: 87.9/100

18.3M total employed

Business and Financial Operations Occupations

50 occupationsAvg: 80.7/100

18.3M total employed

Sales and Related Occupations

23 occupationsAvg: 70.6/100

13.6M total employed

Computer and Mathematical Occupations

38 occupationsAvg: 68.6/100

10.5M total employed

Legal Occupations

8 occupationsAvg: 67/100

1.3M total employed

Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations

45 occupationsAvg: 62.3/100

2.6M total employed

Management Occupations

59 occupationsAvg: 58/100

18.6M total employed

Transportation and Material Moving Occupations

57 occupationsAvg: 55.9/100

16.1M total employed

Educational Instruction and Library Occupations

68 occupationsAvg: 54.3/100

7.4M total employed

Production Occupations

114 occupationsAvg: 54.3/100

7.2M total employed

Architecture and Engineering Occupations

59 occupationsAvg: 52.3/100

6.5M total employed

Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations

66 occupationsAvg: 51.3/100

2.3M total employed

Community and Social Service Occupations

18 occupationsAvg: 43.9/100

2.1M total employed

Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations

96 occupationsAvg: 43.6/100

25.2M total employed

Protective Service Occupations

28 occupationsAvg: 39.5/100

4.6M total employed

Military Specific Occupations

19 occupationsAvg: 39.4/100

N/A total employed

Healthcare Support Occupations

20 occupationsAvg: 38.5/100

3.7M total employed

Personal Care and Service Occupations

34 occupationsAvg: 36.5/100

3.6M total employed

Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations

18 occupationsAvg: 35.2/100

17.4M total employed

Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations

52 occupationsAvg: 34.9/100

6.2M total employed

Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations

14 occupationsAvg: 33.1/100

441K total employed

Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations

10 occupationsAvg: 32.4/100

4.5M total employed

Construction and Extraction Occupations

65 occupationsAvg: 30.4/100

7.7M total employed

Our Methodology

Our AI Impact Score (0-100) combines multiple research-backed signals: the AIOE (AI Occupational Exposure) index from Felten et al., routine task intensity analysis from O*NET work activities, physical presence requirements from O*NET work context data, cognitive complexity from job zone classifications, technology adoption levels, and wage-based automation incentives. Employment and wage data comes from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Sources: O*NET 30.2 Database (U.S. DOL/ETA), BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034, BLS OEWS Wage Data, AIOE Dataset (Felten, Raj & Seamans 2021).